Skip to main content
Pedro Alizo

How to Measure AI ROI in Finance Pilots

Published

6 min

An AI pilot should start with a measurable workflow question, not a demo. Without a baseline and a defined outcome, a renewal decision will rely on impressions rather than evidence.

For example, a team might compare weekly hours across four analysts before and after a pilot. That is only useful if the measurement method is consistent and the saved time is distinguished from time actually redeployed to other work.

Why the honest answer is uncomfortable

Most AI pilots in finance were sized against soft goals: “save analyst time,” “improve accuracy,” “modernize the stack.” Soft goals don’t survive a renewal conversation with a CFO who’s now under pressure themselves to justify software spend line by line. If you can’t say “this saved 6 hours a week across 4 analysts, worth roughly $X in redeployed capacity, and reduced variance-commentary turnaround from two days to same-day,” you’re going to lose the tool in the next budget cycle regardless of whether it’s actually useful—because “useful but unmeasured” and “not useful” look identical on a spend review.

I think a meaningful number of genuinely good tools are about to get cut for this reason. Not because they don’t work. Because nobody built the measurement discipline alongside the pilot, and now there’s nothing to point to except anecdotes.

What actually measurable looks like

A defensible pilot evaluation does three unglamorous things from day one, not at renewal time:

  • Picked a baseline before turning the tool on. How long did this task take last quarter, with the old process, measured the same way you’ll measure it after? If you don’t have a “before” number, you can’t prove an “after” number means anything.
  • Tracked adoption, not access alone. A tool with 40 licenses and 6 active users isn’t a finance transformation story, it’s a procurement problem. Track weekly active use per workflow, not seat count.
  • Separated time saved from quality improved, and measured both, because they get argued differently in a budget meeting. Time saved is easy to quantify and easy to challenge (“did they really redeploy that time, or did they just work fewer hours”). Quality improved is harder to quantify and, honestly, often the bigger real win—fewer restatements, fewer late nights before close, commentary that a business partner can actually act on instead of ignoring.

When the pilot should stop

Some of what got funded in 2024 and 2025 genuinely wasn’t worth it, and the right answer for those pilots is to say so and shut them down cleanly rather than keep them alive on momentum. I’d rather be the person in the room who says “we tried this, it didn’t move the number we said it would, here’s what we learned, here’s the one thing we’re keeping”—that’s a stronger position with a skeptical CFO than defending a tool nobody can prove is working.

At renewal, put three choices in front of the sponsor: scale the workflow, redesign it, or stop the spend. Show the baseline, active use, verified benefit, and ongoing cost for each. “Promising” is not a fourth outcome.

Author-reviewed. AI tools may have assisted with outlining or line edits; thesis, conclusions, and factual claims were checked by the author before publication. Colophon

Tie-Out

Occasional notes on controls, economics, and judgment in corporate finance. No fixed cadence.

By subscribing, you agree to receive email updates. Unsubscribe at any time.

~Pedro Alizo